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WMO expects 2026 to rank among the four warmest years on record

KROV newsroom

9 Nov 2026, 8:55 pm IST1 min read

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The World Meteorological Organization expects 2026 to finish among the four warmest years on record. In an update released on November 9 at the COP31 climate talks in Antalya, Türkiye, the agency put the January–September global average at 1.47°C above the 1850–1900 baseline, with an uncertainty of ±0.13°C. The full-year record, set in 2024, stands at 1.55°C above that baseline. [evidence-1] [evidence-2]

Global mean sea level reached its highest point in the satellite record, which began in 1993. The WMO also expects El Niño to raise the risk of extreme heat, drought and heavy rain into 2027. [evidence-1]

For India, the India Meteorological Department’s November outlook points to very strong El Niño conditions through December. It forecasts November rainfall for southern peninsular India, including coastal Andhra Pradesh and Rayalaseema, at less than 77% of the region’s long-period average. [evidence-3]

Sources and credits

Credit: World Meteorological Organization and India Meteorological Department

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